BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2016 Season Race Result
	Race 16 : Fri, April 15th Bath 6:50, 5f Novice (5)
2016 Season Home 2016 Results	[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level, Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30. Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type. Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish. GOING TIME RcPc Video VP S 68.49 [Compare] 1 Link None

SUMMARY

Newbury abandoned on the day. GStick 6.9 in early am but rain during the day. Preceding race was a 5f all-aged fillies Listed event. Won in 66.25s carrying 126lbs (2lbs less than Stoneyford Lane) by a 7yo with and OR currently at 98. Another very slow time to continue a theme of the season so far with many 'slow time records' being set. Newbury off on Saturaday with meeting hastily switched to CHFD, Stratford waterlogged, WETH inspecting. Snow in Lambourn on the Saturday morning after. This the 2nd slowest time for a juvenile at the course out of 204 races since start 2002 season. The slowest was 70.51 in an early May race in 2005. The fastest was 59.5s by useful Amour Propre on unwatered concrete. === Pre Race === Meehan website on day before race = "ASFAAR who will be partnered by Paul Hanagan. He is also making his racecourse debut. ASFAAR has been impressive vat home and comes from a sharp family so all been well he can run a big race.". === First View Thoughts :- Another race with a winner/closer coming from well back having looked some mix of outpaced/green through halfway. Consider Orewa's (9L back at Hf) success at BVLY on Weds, Dream Of Dream's (10L+ back at Hf) closing 2nd at NMKT. Go back to the Brocklesby and thankfully The Last Lion was good enough to survive the pace and kick clear to win otherwise Simmy's Temple would have been a clear winner through staying ability. None of this would be happening without the notably testing going and the results different from what they would have been with faster going. For example, if the season had started with GF going throughout, Orewa and Stoneyford Lane would not have won, DoDreams wouldn't have placed and STemple might have scraped into a remote 3rd. To make the point clearer in a typical GF sprint race the winner either comes from the Front or 2nd ranks through Halfway. Given a usable pace you need to be a solidly better horse to get more than 2L back from halfway. A Pace War can overturn that and allow Deep Closing as we have seen produced by testing ground this season to date. Reg Hollinshead used to get odd FTO wins and was notable for getting his 2yos mostly fit for debut. Since he died in early 2013 his son Andrew ttook over until some time in 2014 then went to train in France. Daughter Steph overlapped with Andrew with a licence since 2014. The son and daughter had achieved a single 2yo win from 18 indivual 2yos 2013-15 with all debuts well beaten and uncompetitive. Lack of quality in the horses but also signs the training & placement needing improving. Stoneyford Lane a typical 'Hollinshead' cheap sprinter type. Smallish & compact and lacking scope to grow. A weaker front and if looking for positives you would say his hindquarters were strong. Dropped to last pair to Hf and scrubbed along. Won by staying on after not being in the race for most of the distance. 65-69?    Pictures above of Kreb's Cycle (left) and Orewa, both by new sire Helmet. Kreb's Cycle the 4th runner for new sire Helmet and just failed to make it 4 x FTO wins from 4 goes. MPR picture and work videos making KC look similar to Orewa by the same sire. A medium (perhaps under) size and a ready race with a bit more body length. Travelled like the best horse in the race and caught by getting tired in the last 0.5f (jk did use the whip). Interesting to see how these 'medium Helmets' develop. Are they better, more scopey, than the size suggests = will do fine in Conds, perhaps Listed, events in ealry to mid season but then get left behind as the general standard rises. Princess Way a useful marker horse and another sign that trainer Evans has got his 2yos up to normal level now. PWay a small filly and a smaller version of the winner in size & setup. Led and making most of her fitness and nous but outclassed. Low 60s ab? Making a Hanagan ridden Hamdo horse, trained by Meehan, favourite, at times, for debut ought to mean you know "this thing is an aeroplane". Hanagan (as Hills did before) doesn't look to win FTO and more interested in "nice intros". Meehan gets few FTO wins and those that do will typically try Group level at some point. Asfaar another not standing out for size in what looked a medium-and-under group. Add in a wide draw and visible greenery and he was always going to struggle. But, interesting to see Hanagan using the whip as the horse lost gound soon after halfway. Presumably will snap together STO but didn't show anything to suggest he is a better than an early-mid Maiden type.

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