SUMMARY
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GFF going in am but band of rain going NW-SW over the day. Going changed to Good after Race 2 with this Race 3 and some drizzle ongoing. Race Distance +10yds with rail out on bend until 2.5f cutaway.
After a season starting with cold and wet weather this race on planned GFF seemed a good chance to get back to more sensible Race Dynamics. A bit of rain and instead, it is utter chaos again. The winner Berkshire Boy left in the stalls on his own and last and perhaps 5L adrift after 1f. Cosmic Beau in headgear tearing off in front and stretching the race. The Pace set strong enough for wave after wave of folding and closing with 6 horses across the track in a line into the Last 1f - none of them Berkshire Boy.
Finish of the race above. Berkshire Boy the most expensive in the field and a solid size against the rest but remember he was left at the start and adrift after 1f. Mutahaady in the Blue/White Hamdo cols behind had been second slowest away and 3L ahead of BBoy early. On the rail in Blue/Red is Zebspear (70) who did best of the first-half of race runners and what was that worth? Fethiye Boy pink/purple a bit taller than Zebspear and came from behind him as the pair duelled for the lead before 1f out until the depper closers came on the premises. Billy's Boots in Yellow fading even further back and par eased and looked a 65-ish type in previous runs.
Weakish looking race on Profile given those with 'form' setting a sub-75 standard and relying on a better newcomer to provide a Trump Card. Mutahaady at 120k for Hannon should have that profile but always a niggle that Hamdo's do not target debut wins and Hannon leaves his underdone. Add in jk Hanagan doing his R Hills impression of being able to get Frankel beaten FTO and that niggle really gets to anyone. As it was Mutahaady was only 10th early and looking green with Berkshire Boy behind. Which puts Mutahaady bumbling into a staying on 6th, for little asking, late on into some context.
Trainer Balding has had less 5f types in recent years and his early 5f runners usually need the run. Given the way Berkshire Boy ran his race he would probably have been a more typical staying on 3rd-6th FTO range in a typical fast ground race and found a Deep Closer's Nirvana here.
None of the 4 with previous runs suggesting here that they are better than their pre-race Profiles and all sub-75. Some mild interest in Cosmic Beau who looked less smaller 65 trundler here steaming off in front showing a round action. If he can stay he should be able to run to his Profile. But then you remember he is another example of the Dascombe & Kingscote over-pressers who do not seem to progress so far in 2016. [You wonder sometimes what would happen if we swapped Frank and Richie's medicine, Frank got the Benzedrine and Richie got the Valium. 2 x Normally 'Hyper' jks?]
Given the Hf to Final placings and appararently better than average effort by Zebspear to be nearish to the pace and then battle with Fethiye Boy (bigger than Zebspear and going better at Hf) for the lead from 1.5f in until hanging left and fading later than average off the pace and in amongst Mid to Deep closers at the ragged finish. But, Zebspear looking a small and ready one only.
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