BRITISH 2yo RACING - 2016 Season Race Result
	Race 97 : Sun, May 22nd Nottingham 2:20, 5.1f Novice (5)
2016 Season Home 2016 Results	[Est] is the B2yoR Rating. Green indicates a 55+ level, Cream between 30 & 54, Pink less than 30. Wnr = previous/LATER 2yo Winner. Letter is Race Type. Hf = Position at Halfway. Green indicates making places to the finish. GOING TIME RcPc Video VP GGS 59.97 [Compare] 1 Link Link

SUMMARY

Outer HS in use. === Post Race === Another NOTT 2yo race marred by NRs and in this case 'Why?'. How can you pull out for 'Going' reasons when the official Going is GGS and the race is run in the 4th Fastest Time by a 2yo at the course since start 2010. You haven't got much idea what the ground is with the Fast Time (into a headwind) and the 'GS' in the Description. Whatever, it was ok ground for anything to run on and presume 'Going' just a convenient excuse in the Hannon case (they dont pull out for rain softened going gone SHV oftentimes). === PRev === Interesting enough field despite the 5 runners with enough variety to see the relative abilities and to be able to compose a plausible narative, pre-race. If you had been offered 6/5 Silver Line and 6/4 Bolt Phantom in what could conceivably be a one-horse-race then an easy decision. Silver Line the last to walk over from the Stables and did so with 2 handlers already saddled. Probably 15-20mins after the other 4. So, comparing him to an already formed view and stroy of what the others were. Silver Line not looking shoutingly better overall, nor an obvious stand-out, but just better in every area than the best of the others in an area. Medium one, deep and strongish build, some length to the body. Balanced set-up and moves fine. Relaxed and just 'fit enough' (not overwound like the Godolphin bad old days and looking like a little bit "left to work on". A no-real-negatives type but nothing exceptional either. Inclined to stick him as an 81-86 type and more a better class Nursery candidate than Listed+. So long as he doesn't go too high in OR through trying Conditions+. Strong finish and 6f presume ok. Head to the right and hanging left for the last 2f (head to the right in the Halfway picture above). Type you can underestimate because he is 'ok' in every dept. and you want something to really grab you to get more involved. Trainer Mohammed in the category of trainers who you might just risk a bet on his 2yos but he doesn't really convince he has matters under control fully. 2 wins with juveniles at a 2.9% Strike Rate in 2015 with a notable increase in 2yo numbers would put him in the 'Avoid unless Frankel appears in in the Paddock pre-race competency. Whoever does the buying also seems, to B2yoR's view to ignore size too much and there are too many small, if chunky ones. Much rather go buying with Doyle/Hannon or Karl Burke. Breeze video for BP suggesting another low slung, chunky one they bought but with a bit more size perhaps. Doesn't look the cleanest mover but rolls along well enough so at least give BP the chance to win someone over in PRev. Which BP didn't. To start off with the coat is off and he doesn't look fit enough. What has he been doing since the Breeze sale? Smaller medium and chunk but notably up behind and that seems to affect his movement at the walk. A smaller medium, low slung one. Hmmm. Not convinced and call it 69/70 and why is he being supported to 6/4? Ran ok in the race given his readiness but showing something unpleasing to the eye with his near-fore twisting in the gallop. Rolls along but lacks a kick and top pace limited. Given the overall profile look at him as one to oppose going forward and let-him-beat-you. If he proves 75+ go back and see what's changed or what you missed. Decadent Times one of a number of early starters for Dascombe who have gone backwards (somewhat alarmingly) from good early runs. DT here after a break and looking in good condition and bright attitude but under control (helped by a relaxed lass leading him, i.e. rather than reacting to everything the horse does and making the horse owrse). Probably the tallest and a bit leggy. Would like a bit more Body length but enough build for an early 2yo without looking like he has the real core strength to develop. But, say 73 and a good buy for €8.5k. But, given the Dascombe poor record in 2015 with 2yos and the issues so far in 2016 DT isn't one you can trust so no for the day. Ridden by a 7lbs App so perhaps he wont get the Kingscote kamikaze treatment. As DT breaks fromt he stall the A7 loses rein contact as he is trying to haul DT back a bit then DT stumbles and it all looks very messy. For a while DT runs controlled but then the spirit-of-Kingscote takes over and DT is forcing the pace by Halfway and fails to see the race out. Another negative in a Dascombe season which has seen 3 x 2yos wins but only one Fluke success in a suspect race since April 14th. Still have respect Tom but you are in show-me-the-money territory at present. Dark Hero is presumably a Hills nursery project and say a 66. A good example in PRev of how just looking at build (and, say, ignoring, overall frame size and movement type) can go wrong. DH a dark bay and the coat in good condition. Get too close and you'll be picking up good vibes. Stand back and look at him side-on from a distance and he's size limited to some extent and lacks any range or flow to his movement. At least a size smaller than BP although a similar overall type if less body length. Look at the pictures of him and some of that 'compactness' is masked by being led by a tiny lad with 'Purito' limb proprtions (look it up, a cycling reference). Imagine what he would look like, and the effect his picture would have if he were being lead by a rangy six-footer. Commander Blue at first glimpse seems vaguely ok, especially if you were expecting a rabbit.CB looks reasonably Tall close to. But, look at him at a distance and the issues start mounting up. Medium but body a bit too compact for the legginess. Underpowered and notably weak behind in most areas. New bodied overall. Poor walker and no reach behind. Lack of strength and muscle gives him the impression his build if just 'hanging' on his backbone (like a washing line). Came to a halt in the race as of something(s) wrong. But, a 52 say if he can muscle up a bit, and prove he can move adequately. The buts are mounting up too much even for a SWEL maiden in January probably.

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