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The 2003-2004 results are at the bottom
of the page for comparison |
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APRIL 30th SUMMING UP
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An interesting edition of the race with two runners from bigger southern
stables and a $400k newcomer for M Johnston.
The two southern runners both run for astute trainers who know how good
their 2yos are and choose appropriate races to achieve wins. The fact that
they go up to Hamilton suggests they are probably limited to being average
maiden winners. Of the two Salut D'Amour has the better profile in a number
of areas. She should be suited to the uphill finish if she can keep in
touch downhill in the first half of the race.
Lava Flow's behaviour on his debut was a notable negative and he needs
to calm down and develop a little physically to reach his potential.
Global Warning presents the usual conundrum with debut runners for his
trainer. If he's a superior type then he could win this on debut and he
has the profile to be that standard. However the earlier debut before the
York Dante meeting suggest he may be below that level. If he is 'only'
useful then this race is a tough test on his debut with a good opponent
in Salut D'Amour.
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RACE QUALITY:
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The race is of variable quality but regularly attracts average or better
types. The 2002 race saw Dazzling Bay beat Royal Beacon and the first 3
in 2004 were average or better winners.
The 2003 was of lower quality and with that drop in quality came a longer
priced winner and none of the runners achieved a 70 rating in the season.
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SIRES:
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First season sire Bertolini (Howards Prince) has a runner, he has had two
winners to date.
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PADDOCK & SALES REVIEWS:
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Salut D'Amour was reviewed at the sales and rated 73 with an above
average chance of being a competitive 2yo at her level. She was a good
size and with above average build. Deep in front and powerful behind although
slightly weaker in front. She looked capable of being an above average
winner in the season without looking obviously superior given her price.
Lava Flow (Windsor) rated 70 and not obviously 70k gns worth. Good
size but lacks build, especially in front. Needs to develop and tighten
up. However, the biggest problem was his behaviour. He is slightly mentally
immature and was nervous and wound-up at Windsor. He ended up looking 'gone
inside' himself (always a bad sign) and sweating on his neck (which he
held 'crested' a lot of the time). Until his behaviour settles down he
isn't going to realise his potential.
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