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The 2002-2004 results are at the bottom
of the page for comparison |
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APRIL 30th SUMMING UP
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An excellent group and on profile the toughest maiden of the season so
far by a good margin. The top seven on profile all have prospects to be
above average winners.
Envision and George Washington are likely to be the readiest on debut and
a difficult choice between them. George Washington has better long term
prospects but Envision has the better early 5f 2yo profile.
The market activity around Laith should be informative and he is the most
likely to compete with the top two although his trainer's debut runs in
2005 give mixed messages.
In a maiden with a lot of depth any one of Northern Empire, League Champion,
White Ladder & Guest Connections could place if they are useful+ 2yos.
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RACE QUALITY:
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The race was not run in 2004. In 2002-3 it attracted smaller fields than
this year with a mix of useful types from the bigger stables and moderate
to average runners from some smaller stables.
The 2003 race had only average maiden winners in the field and no great
future significance. The 2002 race was better with conditions race winner
Tizzy May winning from two colts that rated 100+ in the season and with
the useful Iron Lad in fourth.
The race has taken a performance of 75+ to win in recent years. The field
for this year's race looks stronger in terms of quality and depth.
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TRAINERS:
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R Hannon has won the last two runnings of the race with useful,
precocious 2yos.
AP O'Brien has entered horses for the race but has not had a runner.
In 2003 for example he entered the once raced maiden Newton who later ran
in the Coventry. He has used the later May maiden at the course to debut
runners and won it in 2003 with Old Deuteronomy who was the second string
in the race to the favourite The Mighty Tiger.
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SIRES:
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No first season sire has a runner.
Mark Of Esteem who has only
ever had one British 5f 2yo win (by the Gp3 7f winner Redback on his third
attempt) has two representatives (Glendening & Scroll).
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PADDOCK & SALES REVIEWS:
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Envision was rated 74 at the sales with a well above average chance
of being a competitive 2yo. He was lengthier than his sire's standard type
and a weak mover behind. The overall rating was lowered because he needed
to develop well from the sales although he had the scope to do so. In that
context it is a good sign that he runs relatively early in the season.
Mytton's Pride was rated 73 at the sales with an above average chance
of being competitive as a 2yo. He was medium sized with a heavyish build
while being deeper and less lengthy than typical for the sire. He seemed
well bought at only 12k gns.
Scroll was rated 63 at the sales with about an average chance of
being competitive at a low level at 2yo. He was small with medium build.
Quite neat and ok geometry within what there was of him. A notably weak
mover behind. [He was retained at the sales by the Stud who are sponsoring
the race]
Glendening was rated 54 at the sales and with a very low chance
of being competitive as a 2yo. He was small, lightly built and narrow.
He was also a notably unathletic mover and weak behind.
Polar Blizzard
(Leicester) was rated 62 and smallish but showed acceptable build and depth
wihtin his frame. A notably weak mover behind however.
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