BRITISH 2YO RACING - 2005 Season Race Profile
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Race 063: Doncaster, May 2nd : 5f (4) Novice

70 69 68 67 66 <65 64 63 62 61 <60 59 58 57 56 <55 54 53 52 51 <50
Crocodile Bay Countrywide Belle
Aboyne
Penny Whisper Swift Fury
Jazz At The Sands
Note:- Bold numbers in the grey boxes are the scale for the estimated rating level for this race. The position of the horse's name indicates the expected performance level as assessed before the race. The table can be read from left to right as the expected finishing positions of the runners.

Declarations : Crocodile Bay (Pen 8lb), Aboyne (Pen 4lb), Jazz At The Sands (Pen 2lb), (Fillies) Penny Whisper (Pen 6lb), Countrywide Belle (Pen 4lb), Swift Fury.


Pre-race Summary
 
The 2003-2004 results are at the bottom of the page for comparison
MAY 1st SUMMING UP
  • A moderate to average edition of the race and probably with limited future significance. Crocodile Bay looked to have limited scope to develop at Windsor but still looked a cut above the profiles of the other previous winners in the race. He also came closest to proving that he's suited to a faster 5f race on a flat track. While it often feels suspect to have a runner carrying the maximum penalty top on profile he ought to be too good for the other than carry penalties.
  • The 'loose cannon' is Jazz At The Sands. If he were with a trainer who had a more obviously organised strategy with 2yos we would know a lot more about him than we do after two runs. We do know that he has some natural pace but tends to run freely and has shown two strong fades in his previous races. However, he cost more than the four previous winners in the race put together and has looked an acceptable physical type. His trainer has a poor to moderate record for getting 2yos wins...and yet...
  • Swift Fury runs for a trainer who ran mostly average to better types in Novice races on debut in 2004 so her debut performance will be interesting to assess.
  • RACE QUALITY: 
  • A wide variation and greatly dependent upon the quality of the winners so far in a season. The 2003 race was devoid of quality while the 2004 race saw three useful 2yos produce a good race and a much higher rating.
  • With the relatively slow start to the season and the lack of quality runners so far has led to a moderate to average group. Unlikely that any of them will be up to the quality of the first three in 2004.
  • SIRES:
  • First season sire Mull Of Kintyre (Aboyne) has a runner.
  • US based sire Forest Wildcat (Jazz At The Sands) is represented.
  • PADDOCK & SALES REVIEWS:
  • Crocodile Bay (Windsor) rated 74. Rating probably close to an 'at best'. Only medium size and build in the group. Ok strength behind but slightly weaker front. On the positive side he was a ready type and a good mover despite being slightly up behind. Probably the readiest type in the field and others had more scope to develop.
  • Penny Whisper was small and lightly built at the sales. She was neat enough and unremarkable otherwise but always likely to be limited by her size. Rated 61.

  • Doncaster 5f Novice: Race Results from 2003 and 2004
    Note 1: Horse with * denotes a winner later in the season.
    Note 2: Trainers highlighted in cream have runners in the 2005 race.
     
    2004 2003
    1 Mystical Land 2/9f J Gosden 1 Rosina May 30/100f N Dutfield
    2 Bigalos Bandit 9/1 JJ Quinn 2 Iron Temptress 9/2 GM Moore
    3 Space Shuttle 25/1 T Easterby 3 Mister Merlin 33/1 MC Chapman
    4 Apologies 11/2 BA McMahon
    5 Northern Revoque 100/1 A Berry

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