BRITISH 2YO RACING - 2005 Season Race Profile
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Race 005: Warwick March 28th : 5f (E (6)) Maiden

58 57 56 <55 54 53 52 51 <50 Under 50
Queens Bounty Sounds Simla [44] Dune Melody [34] Baysgarth Park [30]
Lindus Atenor Lake Hero [42] Mini Blue [36] Local Fancy [25] Stephanies Dream [8]
- - - - - - - - - - - - -
Colmar Supreme Tafilah Angus Newz Distant Shores [42] Casablanca Minx [24]
First Byte [20]		 Supreme Kiss [22]
Note:- Bold numbers in the grey boxes are the scale for the estimated rating level for this race. The position of the horse's name indicates the expected performance level as assessed before the race. The table can be read from left to right as the expected finishing positions of the runners.
Declarations: Baysgarth Park, Dune Melody, Lake Hero, Lindus Atenor, Local Fancy, Mini Blue, Queens Bounty, Sounds Simla, Stephanies Dream.
Entries: Angus Newz, Baysgarth Park, Casablanca Minx, City For Conquest, Colmar Supreme, Distant Shores, Dune Melody, First Byte, Lake Hero, Lindus Atenor, Local Fancy, Mini Blue, Queens Bounty, Sounds Simla, Stephanies Dream, Supreme Kiss, Tafilah.

Pre-race Summary
 
March 25th
(Entry Stage)		 The 2003-2004 results are at the bottom of the page for comparison
March 25th SUMMING UP
  • A weak race on profile and not likely to be a Majestic Desert or Justaquestion 'hiding' in this group.
  • A performance in the 50s is probably going to be enough to win. This raises the possibility of a 'surprise' winner because in sets such a low 'bar' to clear.
  • The better types from trainers that do not have their runners fully ready on debut should be competitive to place/win in this group.
    		•
    RACE QUALITY: 
  • Race is a median auction with entries limited to 2yos by sires whose sales median was below the qualifying limit.
  • Race field is usually made up of poor to moderate runners who will be limited to seller level wins later in the season. However, the two winners in 2003-4 have been Majestic Desert (Gp1 placed but cost €15k and by Fraam) and Justaquestion (Shergar Cup winner, cost 6.8k gns by Pursuit Of Love). So you never know what will be lurking in the lower prices at sales.
  • Both of those good fillies only ran to the 60-64 range to win the race by narrow margins.
    		•
    TRAINERS: 
  • A number of trainers don't have entries who are normally represented including M. Channon, I. Wood and J. Given.
  • Notable in the entries are two representatives for P. D'Arcy and also one from J. Spearing who has introduced an interesting filly in this race before and whose earliest debuts in each season are always of interest (see trainer commentary).
    		•
    SIRES:
  • First Season Sires with entries are Arkadian Hero (Lake Hero), Barathea Guest (Supreme Kiss), Distant Music (Dune Melody & Mini Blue), Primo Valentino (First Byte) and Rambling Bear (Baysgrath Park).
  • A surprise to see a runner by Groom Dancer (Stephanies Dream) running this early at 5f.
  • Averti has two representatives in his important fourth season (Distant Shores and Dune Melody).
    		•
    SALES REVIEWS:
  • Only 4 of the 17 entries were reviewed at the sales. Supreme Kiss was rated only 56 and Lake Hero 60. Of more interest would be Colmar Supreme (rated 64 and a ready type that might win early at low level) and Angus Newz (rated 68 and less obvious 2yo than Colmar Supreme) but with positives for a race of this quality.
    		•


    Warwick 5f Maiden: Race Results from 2003 and 2004

    Note 1: Horse with * denotes a winner later in the season.
    Note 2: Trainers highlighted in cream have entries in the 2005 race.
     
    2004 Draw 2003 Draw
    1 Justaquestion* 6/4f I. Wood 5 1 Majestic Desert* 8/11f M. Channon 8
    2 Chilly Cracker* 25/1 R. Hollinshead 11 2 Fishlake Flyer 15/8 J. Given 5
    3 Withering Lady 12 N. Dutfield 7 3 Danifah* 10/1 P. D. Evans 3
    4 Zimbali* 22 M. Bradley 4 4 Jiffies Flyer 33/1 I. Wood 4
    5 Lady Misha 40/1 J. O'Keeffe 6 5 Ninah 16/1 M. Bradley 7
    6 Straffan* 16/1 E. O'Neill 9 6 La Vie Est Belle* 10/1 B. Millman 2
    7 Town House* 20/1 B. Baugh 2 7 Dress Pearl 11/1 A. Berry 5
    8 Stan's Girl 9/2 M. Channon 8 8 Melaina 40/1 M. Bradley 6
    9 Fantastic Star 8/1 J. Given 3
    10 Blade Runner 8/1 DH Jones 10 NR Comic Genius NR DH Jones
    11 Champagne In Paris 16/1 J. Glover 1

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