BRITISH 2YO RACING - 2005 Season Race Profile
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Race 068: Catterick, May 3rd : 5f (6) Auction

<65 64 63 62 61 <60 59 58 57 56 <55 54 53 52 51 <50 Under 50
Mr Cheers Al Shamara [48] True Valentine [33]
The History Man Spitzenparkes [45] Saddell [25]
Fancy You Multiple The Classic Fox [44] Spirit Of Coniston [22]
She's Our Beauty [40]
Note:- Bold numbers in the grey boxes are the scale for the estimated rating level for this race. The position of the horse's name indicates the expected performance level as assessed before the race. The table can be read from left to right as the expected finishing positions of the runners.

Declarations : Mr Cheers (8-13), The History Man (8-9), (Topweight Filly>) Multiple (8-8), (Colts) Spirit Of Coniston (8-7), The Classic Fox (8-7), (Fillies) Fancy You (8-4), Al Shamara (8-2), Saddell (8-2), She's Our Beauty (8-2), Spitzenparkes (8-2), True Valentine (8-2)


Pre-race Summary
 
There has been no corresponding race run in 2003-4.
MAY 2nd SUMMING UP
  • A poor to moderate race. If The History Man could reproduce his run on debut at Doncaster he could win this comfortably. However he looked to have problems at Musselburgh and showed regressive form after getting unbalanced under pressure. It feels the right thing to look for an alternative.
  • Mr Cheers looked a solid early 2yo at the sales and this sort of race would have been just his standard if he fulfilled that promise. However he has shown two poor runs in moderate races and faded in both races. He also got unbalanced under pressure. It would be unusual for a 2yo with his trainer to show great improvement after so little promise in his first two runs. He also has to give weight to all of the other runners.
  • In a poor to moderate group the fillies Fancy You & Multiple have the best profiles to beat the better colts if they show the same form. Fancy You achieved only a moderate level of form on debut in a slow race. However, her trainer's 2yos have all shown improvement STO and she would not have to do much better to win this.
  • Multiple has the profile to be the best runner in the race but the trainer has not targeted strong debut runs in the last two seasons. It is also slightly worrying that he sends her north to Catterick. Is he looking for a FTO win with an ok type or a weaker race for a disappointing filly? This might be one of those relatively rare occasions when the market will be informative because the trainer assesses his 2yos before they run.
  • SIRES:
  • First season sire Mull Of Kintyre has three runners (Multiple, Fancy You & Saddell).
  • Other first season sires Bertolini (Mr Cheers) & Primo Valentino (True Valentine) are represented.
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