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The 2003-2004 results are at the bottom
of the page for comparison |
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APRIL 11th SUMMING UP
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A low quality race relying on The History Man and Triskaidekaphobia to
provide some 60s 'class'.
If The History Man can show some improvement from debut he would be very
hard to beat. However it is always a risk to rely on improvement from a
M. Easterby runner and their form can tail off quite quickly. However the
natural pace he showed and how he kept on at the end of the race are positives.
Triskaidekaphobia represents a trainer who has not got going with his 2yos
and his debut runners so far have been below expectations. This runner
has had a 15 day break from his intended debut so you expect that the trainer
has taken the opportunity to improve his readiness.
If either or both of the top rated runners on profile fail to reach expectations
because of the identified reasons then the race becomes a poor quality
race and Owners Biscuit may not set a strong enough standard to avoid a
surprise placer (although the bottom five of profile look quite limited).
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RACE QUALITY:
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Usually a low quality race and requiring a performance in the range 55-67
to win. The race has contained relatively few later winners in 2003 and
2004.
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TRAINERS:
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The race usually attracts a core of runners from a set of northern trainers
- K. Burke, K. Ryan, D. Barron, R. Fahey & L Stubbs. This group accounted
for the first five in 2004 and four of the seven runners in 2003 including
the beaten 2/1f.
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SIRES:
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First season sires Arkadian Hero
(Lake Hero), Bertolini (Triskaidekaphobia)
& Distant Music (Ferrero)
have runners. None of these sires has had a winner with their runners to
date.
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SALES REVIEWS:
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Five of the 9 runners were reviewed at the sales.
Triskaidekaphobia was rated 68 with a just above average chance
of being a 2yo sprint winner at his level. Small but with ok build and
strong quarters, especially behind.
The History Man was rated 64 with a just above average chance of
being a 2yo sprint winner at his level. He was a good size and build but
was lengthy and with a very slight dip-backed. This along with him being
a 'crib biter' probably led to him being unsold despite his positives in
size and build. His performance on debut went a long way to allaying some
of the fears that his length and set-up could make him an unathletic mover.
Bowland Boy was rated 63 but with a well below average chance of
being a competitive 2yo. He was small with acceptable build but lengthy
and short. Added to that he was an unathletic mover.
Lake Hero was rated 60 but with a well below average chance
of being a competitive 2yo. She was small and moderately built and notable
short.
Little Elver was rated 60 and with a very low chance of being competitive
even at a low level at 2yo. She was small and lightly built and had little
scope to develop.
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