BRITISH 2yo RACING

2002-20124 - Period Review
Sire/Dam General







2002-2014 - Sire/Dam Review

Horses
Total Runners; Winners & Debuts Details; Gender & Colour Splits; Birthdates vs Strike Rates.
Races
Total Races; Breakdown by Types, Class & Distance; Distribution through Season; AW Totals.
Winners
FTO Winners SR & by Distance; Multiple Winners; Wins by Run Number Distributions.
Starting Prices
2005-2014 Seasons SPs Summary
[Sire/Dam - General]
Sire Runner Totals Groups; Sires with Winners Groups; Dam's Age versus Strike Rate.
[Trainers - General
Trainer Runner Totals Groups; Sires with Winners Groups; Use of Headgear; NR & WDs; FTO Course Choice.

General : Note that there are separate sections available via the links on the site homepage which provide detailed stats for individual Sires This section covers general stats about the overall Sire population.

Questions covered in the Winners Section :-
    1. How many different Sires had 2yo runners in each season?
    2. How many different Sires had 2yo race wins in each season?
    3. Does the age of a runner's Dam make any difference to its chances of winning?




1. How many different Sires had 2yo runners in each season?

Season Total Sires Sires with between 1 to 10 runners Sires with between 11 to 20 Runners Sires with more than 20 Runners
2002 359 264 (74%) 69 (19%) 26 (7%)
2003 342 251 (74%) 49 (14%) 42 (12%)
2004 368 264 (72%) 58 (16%) 46 (12%)
2005 329 233 (71%) 52 (16%) 44 (13%)
2006 339 247 (73%) 52 (15%) 40 (12%)
2007 356 271 (76%) 39 (11%) 46 (13%)
2008 372 281 (76%) 44 (12%) 47 (12%)
2009 339 246 (73%) 40 (12%) 53 (15%)
2010 299 207 (69%) 39 (13%) 51 (17%)
2011 281 193 (69%) 35 (12%) 53 (19%)
2012 254 163 (65%) 52 (20%) 39 (15%)
2013 245 164 (67%) 31 (13%) 50 (20%)
2014 239 153 (64%) 44 (18%) 42 (18%)
Note : (a) The decrease in Total Sires in 2010 was accounted for by fewer sires with a small number of runners.
One cause was less imports of US bred yearlings by Sires who rarely have European runners.
Similar comments apply in 2011 with further decreases.


  The full list of sires with number of runners is presented as a webpage for each season 2005 to 2014. The Sire Summary Index Page is linked from the main page for each season on the B2yoR site. The 2014 season is linked here when Kodiac topped the list with 69 individual runners followed by Acclamation (67) and First Season Sire Zebedee (66).

  In the three seasons 2002 to 2004 no sire had more than 45 individual runners while a total of seven were above that level in 2007. In 2008-11 the figures have been 6-4-5-8. In 2014 the number was 10.

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2. How many different Sires had 2yo race wins in each season?

Season Total Sires with at least one win Sires with 1 to 5 wins Sires with 6 to 10 Wins More than 10 Wins More than 20 wins
2002 201 146 (73%) 31 (15%) 24 (12%) 1
2003 200 130 (65%) 49 (24%) 21 (11%) 3
2004 208 138 (66%) 50 (24%) 20 (10%) 3
2005 194 132 (68%) 34 (18%) 31 (16%) 3
2006 189 129 (68%) 35 (19%) 21 (11%) 4
2007 213 157 (74%) 29 (14%) 22 (10%) 5
2008 211 149 (71%) 36 (18%) 26 (11%) 6
2009 200 137 (69%) 29 (14%) 34 (17%) 7
2010 180 109 (61%) 39 (21%) 32 (18%) 2
2011 175 104 (59%) 41 (23%) 30 (18%) 4
2012 167 104 (62%) 32 (19%) 31 (19%) 7
2013 150 89 (59%) 29 (19%) 32 (21%) 10
2014 150 89 (59%) 31 (21%) 30 (20%) 13
Note: (a) Normally, 55-60% of the Total number of Sires have at least one winner.
(b) Percentage figures relate to the proportion of sires with winners in each classification group

The five with more than 20 wins in 2007 included three First Season Sires in Acclamation (top on 35 wins with 28 second best), Oasis Dream & Choisir along with Royal Applause (Acclamation's Sire) & Bertolini. In 2008 the six sires with 20+ wins included only Oasis Dream from the previous year. The other five were Captain Rio, Exceed And Excel*, Bahamian Bounty, Kyllachy & Kheleyf*. The asterisks indicate which of those were in their first season with runners.

In 2009 the seven with more than 20 wins included Oasis Dream, Exceed And Excel & Bahamian Bounty from the 2008 list along with established sire Invincible Spirit. The other three were first season sires Avonbridge+*, Dubawi* & Pastoral Pursuits*. In 2010 the two sires with more than 20 winners were Iffraaj* and Invincible Spirit. In 2011 the four sires were Acclamation (clear top with 27), Dutch Art*, Exceed And Excel & Red Clubs*.

The overall Figures in 2013-14 highlight a major decline in the number of Sires represented with 2yo runners in the last 8-10 years. With the number of races increasing over that period this inevitably leads to more sires having 20+ wins in a season. The leader in 2014 was Kodiac on 54 followed by First Season Sires Zebedee (38) and Showcasing (31).


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3. Does the age of a runner's Dam make any difference to its chances of winning?

   While following racing you will hear various biases expressed relating to the age of dams and their ability to produce competitive racehorses. These usually take the form of doubting the ability of first foals or the products of old dams being less competitive.

   The following table shows the results for the 9 seasons from 2005 to 2013 for all foal numbers. The 2014 season Data is then included alongside, mostly to make the point about how small sample sizes can give very lumpy data. Even the 9 seasons worth of data is on the 'small' side as a sample with the good returns for 1st Foals in 2014 lifting their overall Strike Rate to 10.0% from 9.7% in 2005-2013. Suggesting the sample needs to be bigger still to get to a Steady State.

2005-13 Seasons
2014 Season
Dam's Foal Number Number of Runners Number of Runs Number of Wins Wins to Run Percentage Dam's Foal Number Number of Runners Number of Runs Number of Wins Wins to Run Percentage
1st 4,983 17,862 1,737 9.7% 1st 527 1,868 229 12.3%
2nd 4,179 14,852 1,628 11.0% 2nd 388 1,443 189 13.1%
3rd 3,699 12,593 1,436 11.4% 3rd 314 1,008 145 14.4%
4th 3,120 10,835 1,177 10.9% 4th 337 1,150 110 9.6%
5th 2,442 8,221 850 10.3% 5th 271 948 93 9.8%
6th 2,083 7,199 751 10.4% 6th 216 761 75 9.9%
7th 1,615 5,361 501 9.4% 7th 170 556 77 13.8%
8th 1,254 4,261 471 11.1% 8th 140 448 41 9.2%
9th 985 3,160 291 9.2% 9th 103 315 25 7.9%
10th 723 2,351 207 8.8% 10th 89 271 25 9.2%
11th 479 1,566 131 8.4% 11th 58 20 182 11.0%
12th 298 1,001 81 8.1% 12th 28 77 9 11.7%
13th 172 585 63 10.8% 13th 17 59 5 8.5%
14th 115 358 26 7.3% 14th 11 45 4 8.9%
15th 55 174 12 6.9% 15th 3 11 1 9.1%
16th 25 78 7 9.0% 16th 1 6 0 0%
17th 7 22 3 13.6% 17th 2 13 0 0%
There have been no 18th foals or higher, in the period 2005-2014.

   The following table shows the data for the 2005-2013 and 2014 for Class 1 races only. In Britain all Group and Listed races are categorised as being in Class 1. The 13th foals that have been successful at Class 1 level were New Approach (2007), Jukebox Jury (2008), Fulbright & Waiter's Dream (2010) and Coral Mist (2013).

Class 1 Races Only
2005-13 Seasons
2014 Season
Dam's Foal Number Number of Runners Number of Runs Number of Wins Wins to Run Percentage Dam's Foal Number Number of Runners Number of Runs Number of Wins Wins to Run Percentage
1st 562 989 92 9.3% 1st 65 111 15 13.5%
2nd 551 991 109 11.0% 2nd 61 114 17 14.9%
3rd 454 803 85 10.6% 3rd 33 56 7 12.5%
4th 391 734 75 10.2% 4th 37 59 4 6.8%
5th 264 465 57 12.3% 5th 32 53 6 11.3%
6th 261 445 38 8.5% 6th 26 51 2 3.9%
7th 146 283 37 13.1% 7th 24 51 5 9.8%
8th 163 282 21 7.4% 8th 14 30 2 6.7%
9th 84 141 9 6.4% 9th 13 22 1 4.5%
10th 62 103 14 13.6% 10th 6 9 1 11.1%
11th 47 81 6 7.4% 11th 4 5 0 0%
12th 24 44 4 9.1% 12th 3 6 1 16.7%
13th 25 40 5 12.5% 13th 1 1 0 0%
14th 7 8 0 0% 14th 2 6 0 0%
15th 6 9 0 0% 15th 0 0 0 0%
16th 1 1 0 0% 16th 0 0 0 0%
17th 0 0 0 0% 17th 0 0 0 0%
Class 1 Races Only

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