BRITISH 2YO RACING - 2005 Season Race Profile
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Race 050: Bath, April 26th : 5f (6) Auction

70 69 68 67 66 <65 64 63 62 61 <60 59 58 57 56 <55 54 53 52 51 <50 Under 50
Green Pride Royal Power Sunrise Safari High Seasons Bathwick Emma [49]
Carmenero Twilight Avenger Takoda Fateful Attraction [42] Blue Army [35]
Zafarilla Hembury Fort Don Tenorio Haiti Dancer [42] Oblo [28]
Hot Just Down The Road Tour D'Amour
Note:- Bold numbers in the grey boxes are the scale for the estimated rating level for this race. The position of the horse's name indicates the expected performance level as assessed before the race. The table can be read from left to right as the expected finishing positions of the runners.

Declarations : High Seasons (8-11), Royal Power (8-11), Sunrise Safari (8-11), Twilight Avenger (8-9), Blue Army (8-7), Carmenero (8-7), Don Tenorio (8-7), Green Pride (8-7), Hembury Fort (8-7), Hot (8-7), Oblo (8-7), Takoda (8-7), (Fillies) Zafarilla (8-6), Just Down The Road (8-4), Bathwick Emma (8-2), Fateful Attraction (8-2), Haiti Dancer (8-2), Tour D'Amour (8-2).


Pre-race Summary
 
The 2003-2004 results are at the bottom of the page for comparison
APRIL 25th SUMMING UP
  • A solid group overall although not obviously a superior runner amongst them on profile (however Presto Vento would have been similarly difficult to 'pick' in 2002). However there should be a good number of moderate to average winners amongst the field assisted by their early season debuts.
  • Given the trainer's record in the race and with the benefit of a solid debut Green Pride sets a good standard although he probably has moderate scope to develop from the race.
  • Zafarilla, Hot and Sunrise Safari are most interesting of the newcomers to possibly be competitive in this race against those with previous experience.
  • RACE QUALITY: 
  • Usually a better race than the course and the Class would suggest. A range of the Lambourn area and south-west trainers tend to run average winner types and R Hannon in particular often runs useful or superior 2yos.
  • The range of abilities usually means that the better types will make the first 3-5 places. Those that finish midfield or further back tend to be claimer winners at best.
  • TRAINERS: 
  • A race which draws runners from a similar pool of trainers each year.
  • R Hannon has won the last three runnings with Presto Vento (9/2 on debut, rated 100 at 2yo), Soonest (2/5f on STO, rated 93) & Elgin Marbles (9/2 on debut, rated 81). In 2003 he also ran Mr Belvedere on debut (unplaced at 20/1, rated 68).
  • B Meehan has had three runner in the last three races. In 2002 the claimer level winners Dubai Dreams and Tiber Tiger were unplaced at 20/1 and 14/1. In 2004 he had Al Qudra finish 5th at 3/1 second favourite on debut.
  • M Channon has run two claimer level winners in the race in 2002-3.
  • PD Evans has had a runner in each race 2002-4 ranging from a poor non winner to the useful The Crooked Ring who finished second.
  • Notable for a runner in 2005 is Newmarket trainer J Noseda who has not had a runner in the race recently.
  • SIRES:
  • First season sires Fantastic Light (High Seasons), Fruits Of Love (Don Tenorio & Tour D'Amour), Mozart (Sunrise Safari) & Observatory (Oblo) have runners.
  • PADDOCK & SALES REVIEWS:
  • Paddock:-
  • Green Pride (Windsor) rated 70. Not a particularly taking type and a surprise to see him second favourite and preferred to Green Park. Has grown well from the sales but not put on muscle in front, narrow overall. On the positive side he's mature and ready although not with strong scope to develop. Lacks quality overall.
  • Carmenero (Windsor) rated 69. Had looked like he might be a 'heavy 'trundler' at the sales and not be able to make the most of his strength. He's still too compact but has strengthened up even more and is remarkably mature in front (a good sign). He likely to be limited by his compactness but his strength and maturity will allow him to compete well in early to mid-season.
  • Tour D'Amour (Lingfield) rated 52. One of smallest in small field and lacking build. Seemed to be following Fashion Chic around, 50s rating probably.
  • Blue Army (Warwick) rated 50. Limited to low 50s rating
  • Sales:-
  • Twilight Agenda rated 68 with an above average chance of being a competitive 2yo. He was small and short but stockily built and a ready type. He should be able to be a 70s rated sprint winner but lacking scope to develop through the season. 
  •  Hembury Fort rated 64 and a below average chance of being a competitive 2yo at his level. Neat and medium build but a notably short mover behind.
  • Hot was rated 67 and a medium size and build. Looked extremely mature at the sales and very fit and could have gone straight to the course from there. Limited scope to develop but looked like a just-add-water early 2yo runner and definitely competitive.
  • Oblo was rated 52 and with close to no chance of being competitive at anything other than banded level.
  • Haiti Dancer was rated 66 but was small and lengthy and with a lighter build behind. She looked to need 6f+ and therefore received a low rating to be a competitive 2yo because of this.


  • Bath 5f Auction: Race Results from 2003 and 2004
    Note 1: Horse with * denotes a winner later in the season.
    Note 2: Trainers highlighted in cream have runners in the 2005 race.
     
    2004 2003
    1 Elgin Marbles 9/2 R Hannon 1 Soonest 2/5f R Hannon
    2 The Crooked Ring* 11/2 PD Evans 2 Bahama Reef* 16/1 B Gubby
    3 Alsu* 14/1 A Balding 3 Trick Cyclist* 16/1 A Balding
    4 Withering Lady 13/2 N Dutfield 4 Breezit* 6/1 M Channon
    5 Al Qudra* 3/1 B Meehan 5 Royal Supremacy 66/1 C Cox
    6 Turtle Magic 22/1 WGM Turner 6 Mr Belvedere 20/1 R Hannon
    7 Haroldini 50/1 N Dutfield 7 Danifah* 9/1 PD Evans
    8 Granary Girl 50/1 B Palling 8 Chickado* 20/1 D H-Jones
    9 Goldhill Prince* 25/1 WGM Turner 9 Fortunately Mine 100/1 A Newcombe
    10 Seasons Estates 9/1 R Millman
    11 Mystery Maid 66/1 H Howe
    12 Grand Welcome 16/1 C Tinkler
    13 Cree* 50/1 W Muir
    14 Ahaz 50/1 IA Wood

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